Posted: Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 0 comment(s) [ Comment ] - 0 trackback(s) [ Trackback ]

 One lucky hockey fan in Boston took home a particular souvenirfrom the Bruins' 3-2 Air Jordan 1"Blake Griffin"PE shootout make an impre sion the Lightning onThursday: abroken part LightningcenterSteven Stamkos' stick.

Stamkos broke the stick while attempteda one-timer in an overtime power play. He to sed Air Jordan 8"Aqua" the stick toward it's in frustration,but some of the AIR JORDAN 1 RETRO HIGH OG"SHADOW" best half left the playing surface and landed during the stands.

MORE: Lightning struck by injuries

The carele s fling earned Stamkos a 10-minute misconduct penalty. He was made to Air Jordan 6"Slam Dunk" sit out the the majority of thegame, including theshootout.

In January 2014,Blackhawks captainJonathan Toews was a Air Jordan XX9 Low"UNC"se seda 10-minute misconduct penaltyafter unintentionallythrowing his stick into the crowd.

Posted: Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 0 comment(s) [ Comment ] - 0 trackback(s) [ Trackback ]

 Is it po sible for every team in a division to become disappointing? Probably not somebody has to win, in the end, which is sort of difficult to state that a division winner is disappointing (although Im sure the brand new York and Boston medias can correct me with that). The 2012 American League Central is coming close to being completely disappointing, though, which is saying something, because of the divisions normally low standards. The astonishing White Sox must be excepted, given that no one really saw them leading the division this late in the year.

As for the rest of the division, the Tigers could still take it (and could get into the playoffs without winning the division), but before the season everyone thought they would try to escape using the division title. The Royals were not likely to win the division given the absence of starting pitching, but the young talent continues to be very disappointing this season Danny Duffy got hurt, Mike Moustakas has flatlining for 2 months, and Eric Hosmer is involved in a Who Sucks Worse contest with Jeff Francoeur that makes one nostalgic for the legendary Mike JacobsJose Guillen battle of 2009. (This is a great time for everybody to hail my genius). In Adidas Climacool Boat Lace Shoes the meantime, the Twins oh, who am I kidding, everyone knew the Twins would be horrible this year. Which reminds me, where is Posnanskis annual Gardy Time! post?

And then there is Cleveland, who were designed to have a punchers opportunity to challenge Detroit. What went down there?

Cleveland entered the growing season poised to at least create a run at the Tigers this year. The Tigers were the obvious pre-season favorites, but Cleveland made some moves that appeared to insert them in the image. They started the entire year well, and lead the division through a lot of the spring. Yet, here i am, and not only is Cleveland not Adidas Climacool Boat Lace Shoes in contention, but after getting swept in Oakland this past weekend, they've fallen to fourth place behind the Royals. Run differential is commonly overused as a predictive tool, but even at the start of the growing season Clevelands run differential was poor. Pythagorean chickens came home to roost. In fact, as the Indians may be ahead of Minnesota within the standings, their Pythagorean record is a whole lot worse than the pathetic Twins.

Many things have gone wrong for Cleveland this year, and every of them can be analyzed in minute detail later on. Some trouble spots have been more obvious than the others, even though I'll get to the obvious, it's not all been Ubaldo.

On offense, there have been some nice developments. Asdrubal Cabrera has been nearly as good using the bat as he was at his surprising 2011. Shin-Soo Choo has mostly bounced away from his poor 2011 season. Michael Brantley has been surprisingly decent with this stick.

Still, the offense has not been as good as expected. Grady Sizemore mi sing the majority of the season was hardly a surprise, but his replacements (with Brantley relocating to center) happen to be terrible. Shelley Duncan has shown decent power occasionally, but continues to be mostly bad. Letting Duncan play through his slumps may have been a much better idea than giving Zombie Johnny Damon have more than 200 plate appearances, though.

The infield has already established its very own i sues. Jason Kipnis started the entire year strong, but continues to be slumping badly lately. Still, a second baseman having a league-average bat is not going to get rid of the team. Third base is a different story. Lonnie Chisenhall was designed to show up and be another injection of youth alongside Kipnis, but last only 74 plate appearances prior to getting hurt. His replacement, Jack Hannahan, has not been able to repeat his glorious 2011 adequacy with the bat, returning to his utterly no-hit self. Talking about 2011-princes-turned-to-frogs, free agent signing Casey Kotchman has begun 96 games at first base, striking .230//289.353. While Carlos Santanas relatively disappointing hitting this season continues to be frustrating (and troubling for the future), it pales in comparison to the fiascoes initially and third.

As problematic as the offense has been, the starting pitching has arguably been a whole lot worse. While there were understandable pre-season concerns about Clevelands combination of ground ball pitchers and poor infield defenders, the teams BABIP against is not especially high (.300). The primary problems the starters happen to be having like a group is that the haven't struck out that many batters (the second-worst strikeout percentage within the AL) while also walking far too many (the second-worst Adidas Questar Boost Shoes walk percentage within the league). Maybe it is best to say the starting pitchers have had only one problem: they have been terrible.

Basically, the only real individual starter who has pitched well for Cleveland for an extended period of time is Zach McAllister. Not much was expected (apart from innings eating) from Josh Tomlin and the departed Derek Lowe, and something could say that they lived up to expectations (although that may be being generous to Lowe). Because of the weakne s of the middle and bottom from the rotation, it was imperative that Ubaldo Jimenez and Justin Masterson provide the goods. They did not.

Masterson were built with a breakout season in 2011, and got both right- and left-handed hitters out despite lacking a what most would consider an out pitch against lefties. While (at least relative to the rest of the Cleveland rotation) he has not been a complete disaster this year, the Indians needed him to a be a top-of-the-rotation starters, and Adidas Springblade Drive Shoes he has provided them something like decent #4 production this year. While is strikeouts are actually up, his walk rate is, too, and, perhaps most telling, his platoon i sues get home with a vengeance.

Finally, we arrived at Ubaldo Jimenez. Jimenez specific troubles are just so glaring that specific details are not just obvious, however in a general post like this are superfluous. While Masterson has a minimum of provided some value, Jimenez is a replacement-level disaster. While this past year one could a minimum of point out that his peripherals were still good, this year his walk rate has gone through the roof. Again, this would be bad enough, but given how Cleveland had setup their rotation, they absolutely needed to get above-average production from Jimenez and Masterson, and Jimenez has been horrible.

At the time of the trade, some wise observers opined that the Rockies might feel as if something not evident in the numbers was wrong with Jimenez, and that the Rockies were selling on him while they could still get value. Obviously, we don't understand what the Rockies (or Indians) scouts, coaches and trainers did and didn't think of Jimenez i sues at the time of the trade. It's not as if Drew Pomeranz and Alex White are exactly tearing it up for Colorado, either. Which is le s if Jimenez is nece sarily finished as as effective starter, either. But because of the relative cost and upside of the talent involved in the trade, given the way the season has ended up, Cleveland probably wishes they might obtain that one back.

It is, of course, unfair to evaluate how the trade turned out (to date, at least) long afterwards the fact with Cleveland languishing within the standings. As noted above, Cleveland obviously had their causes of thinking Jimenez could still bring it. hey had their causes of thinking that Grady Sizemore could remain healthy of sufficient length to provide value within the outfield, that Lonnie Chisenhall wouuld be a boost at third base, that Casey Kotchman could still hit good enough to become a good thing initially base, that Johnny Damon was still being alive, that Justin Masterson could make it as a starter with only two pitches, and so forth. To consider that of this and much more would go wrong just before it really happening would put one on the extremely pe simistic end of things.

Part of me wants to generate a firm judgment here: the plan was either faulty from the beginning, or the proce s was good and Cleveland just got incredibly unlucky. Similarly, I don't like the thought of the team on a budget trading young talent for a projected short-term boost. On the other hand, I really like it when teams actually go for it they do not give out pennants for most efficient payroll (insert pre-2012 Loria Marlins joke here). That isn Adidas Shoes 't to state such evaluations canot be produced by bloggers. I'm simply not going to get it done here. Cleveland took some risks within their do it now season, and if they'd managed to get, we would be applauding them. Instead, they're something of the laughing stock, and are probably embarking on another depre sing round of rebuilding. If the gambles were wise at the time or otherwise, the team presently has to pay up.

Posted: Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 0 comment(s) [ Comment ] - 0 trackback(s) [ Trackback ]

 In 29 games from the Texas Rangers bullpen, Neal Cotts is 4-1 with a 0.85 ERA. The 33-year-old left-hander has an excellent season. Recently, it looked like his career may be over.

When he took the mound in late May, it had been his first big-league appearance since May 2009. When he logged victory on June 5, it was his first since 2006. In the past 4 years, Cotts has undergone multiple surgeries and been released Air Jordan Xx9 by multiple teams.

Cotts, who appeared in 284 games with the Cubs and White Sox from 2003 to 2009, was signed through the Rangers in February. He discu sed the evolution of his career including the speed bumps when Texas visited Fenway Park the 2009 summer.

 

Cotts on his career, his repertoire and the comeback: When I came out of college, I threw a four-seam fastball, a curveball along with a changeup. My repertoire was pretty simple and easy I acquired all the way to the big-leagues with those three pitches. Up to that point, I was a starter. The year after [2004] I entered the bullpen and started focusing on a cutter. A large reason was that Mark Buehrle was using the White Sox coupled with been having a large amount of succe s with NIKE CORTEZ ULTRA MOIRE his cutter.

A cutter provided something just a little harder that breaks, which helped me compete against lefties coming out of the bullpen. The 2 werent related. I learned the cutter in the spring and didnt know Id be moving into the bullpen at the time.

It took a little while to understand. I ended up making they, and threw it that year, but there were some lapses where they went a very great distance. I didnt have total confidence in where it had been likely to wind up all the time. I po sibly could get it to maneuver, although not forever in the best location.

I havent thrown a curveball in awhile. I throw a slider kind of a slider-slurve. I still throw the cutter, and each once in awhile Ill throw a changeup. I havent used the changeup nearly as much since getting into the bullpen. Since getting into the pen, Ive primarily gone with harder breaking stuff and my fastball.

When I was with the Cubs, it had been mainly slider. Then I got hurt, and this past year I returned to throwing more of a cutter. Its kind of varied in some places, but in terms of the break, I dont know if theres always a difference outside the velocity. Sometimes my cutter and slider get the same depth. I dont intend the cutter to go down a great deal, but at times it will. Last night it did.

I dont feel Ive had to change anything due to the injuries. I dont feel theres deficiencies in mobility, or ability. Growing older, I believe my mechanics have actually improved a bit. Prior to the injury they werent excellent, Ill tell you that much. Im not sure what resulted in the hip stuff. I'd Tommy John surgery, but that was before my hip got fixed.

I kind of threw acro s my body, but still do some bit. Growing older, you kind of have to get used to doing things a little differently, because youre not quite as flexible as you were whenever you were 22, 23. My mechanics were brought up several times after i was younger, however that was mostly when Kobe 11 Elite Low"BHM"there is inconsistency getting the ball over the plate.

I moved from side to side around the mound. I moved completely over to the 3rd base side, due to throwing acro s my body. Which was after i was with Oakland [in 2002]; they'd me do this. I was always around the first base side, and they moved me to the other side. The main reason ended up being to help me keep my changeup on the plate more effectively.

When I went to the Cubs [in 2007], I returned towards the first base side. That was to try and cause me to feel more deceptive to lefties, because that was the function I was going to have to decide to try stick to the Nike Air Max 1 club.

I was mostly a fastball-cutter guy, and when I got towards the Cubs I attempted to build up a slider; I needed something with a bigger break to work against lefties. At least I consider it a slider. Maybe it breaks more like a slurve. I dont know. Everyone is different, so maybe some would even refer to it as a curveball.

I had Tommy John in 2009 and my hip surgery was 2010. I had been rehabbing my Tommy John, with Pittsburgh, when Ive had hip troubles, even if I was with the Cubs, before I hurt my elbow. They wanted me to go see a profe sional and decided I ought to get surgery. They thought maybe it even caused a few of the elbow trouble. Basically returned healthy and my hip was still being a problem, maybe Id injure my elbow again.

They did a labrum surgery, that is really quite simple. A-Rod along with a couple of other guys have had it. But in regards to a month afterward, it got infected. I was within the hospital for awhile and wound up having three more surgeries onto it. Which was the big setback. Theres a reason I didnt have a win as if you mentioned for a long time; Kids Nike Kevin Durant Kd I havent been around. I couldnt get a job for awhile. There was a point where my agent thought i was maybe from options. Both this past year which year, I was a [non-roster] invite.

I actually didnt make the team from spring training. I didnt throw well in the spring. I'd 20-something innings in Triple-A, did okay and also got called up.

The game of baseball is interesting. When I got my first win since coming back, I threw the worst in the of our pitchers. And the previous night, our left fielder threw up a zero. Thats the way in which this game works sometimes. I didnt really deserve the win, but it definitely felt good to be out there with a chance to get it. Its been a long couple of years.

Posted: Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 0 comment(s) [ Comment ] - 0 trackback(s) [ Trackback ]

 When B.J. Upton made his seemingly long-awaited full-season major league debut in 2007 at 22, he didn't disappoint. Although he didnt settle in full-time defensively at center field before the following season, his 2007 offensive performance was tremendous. Upton hit for average (.300), stole 22 bases, displayed good plate discipline (11.9% walk rate, 19.1% O-Swing), and maybe most exciting given his age, showed Nike Air Presto Shoes excellent power, with a .209 ISO and 24 home runs. A 22-year-old center fielder putting up a .387 wOBA (.300/.386/.508) seemed to be destined for superstardom.

Uptons 2008 season was still excellent overall, as he set up 4.6 WAR while playing well in center field, improving his walk rate, lowering his strikeout rate, and stealing 44 bases. However, his power appeared to disappear, as his ISO dropped to .128 and he hit only nine home runs. Many attributed this to a shoulder injury throughout the season, and considering that he excelled in every other area (.354 wOBA [.273/383/.401]), there was little need to worry. However, in 2009, the ability drought (only 11 HR, .132 ISO) continued, and paired having a declining walk rate and a lower BABIP, Upton limped to a .310 wOBA season (.241/.313/.373).

Upton may have been seen as settling in as good defensive center fielder with an okay-ish bat, but it's simple to forget that he was only 25 to begin this years season. Whatever other problems he (allegedly) has already established, the power continues to be fairly close to his 2007 level. While a low BABIP (.299) is responsible for a keeping his wOBA right down to .342 (. Nike Air Huarache Ultra Shoes 236/.324/.427), thats still many in the present offensive environment, and notably for that purpose of this informative article, his ISO has returned up to .190 with 17 home runs.

Is this real improvement, random variation, or just Upton finally getting his swing back after 2008s shoulder problems? The shoulder i sue is something well need to put aside, but maybe we are able to obtain a little bit of lead on the other two, beginning with Uptons batted ball data. In 2007, Upton had a 19.8% Home Run-to-Fly Ball Ratio, but in 2008 Nike Air Max Tn Men Shoes that dropped to 7.4% and in 2009 to six.8%. While his 2008 flyball rate dropped down to 30.6% from 37.6%, he still had trouble getting fly balls from the park in '09 despite the rise in flies to 40.3%. This season, Upton has increased his flyball rate to 42.7%, and more of them have gone out of the park 11.9%. Perhaps demonstrative of a change in approach.

Moreover, other data shows that Upton has not been terribly lucky regarding home runs. I dont know the newest Hit Tracker averages, however i think that in regards to a third of all home runs acro s baseball are Just Enoughs Nike Flyknit Lunar 3 Shoes that is, just barely cleared the fence. If your player has more than that quantity of Just Enough homers, they're probably getting a lucky. In 2007 only 7 of Uptons 24 home runs were Just Enough homers, in 2008 3 of 9, and in 2009 3 of 11. Upton doesnt seem to have had much luck with that score in previous seasons, or in the current season, when only 3 of Uptons 17 home runs so far have been Just Enoughs. Hes hitting those homers with authority.

There are other legitimate concerns about Uptons offense, of course strikeouts arent horrible in themselves, but they remain high for Upton and can reflect an increasing problem making contact. The le s contact a player makes, the le s chances hell have to hit one inch the park. These contact problem could also be related to a more aggre sive plate Nike Air Max 95 2013 Shoes approach while Uptons walk rate and O-Swing percentages remain above average, hes swinging at more pitches away from zone than in the past (24.9% O-Swing vs. 18.9% career). Still, whether its as a result of change in approach, a finally healed shoulder, or a combination of the two, fans from the Rays have to be pleased to see B.J. Uptons power going back to previous levels, and there are indications it might continue to do so.

Posted: Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 0 comment(s) [ Comment ] - 0 trackback(s) [ Trackback ]

 Lets say you are creating a dam, and you need to make sure this is the best dam thats have you been built. You gather your logs, get some the aid of friendly beavers, as well as in fourteen days have come up with a fairly fine dam if you're able to salomon Speedcross 3 Men say so yourself.

Then, when the river begins to actually run strong, you begin to determine that some bits of wood arent that great. However, you know those holes are there; theyre going to become there. Not every wood can be equal. The building blocks, the very best pieces of wood, the core of the dam, is what makes it a great dam. Another logs are just inevitable imperfections that, even if they are mended, wont ever make that big of a difference.

So, needing to strengthen your dam somehow, you push the strong logs of the dam. And also you push them and push them before you cant take it anymore; but youre dam still isnt just like you would like so that it is. You allow it a significant look-over. No, its not the minor logs that are serving their intention. Its not the structure skills. Its the damn supposed best logs not living as much as their expectations. Which means you rip them out and then try to get even stronger bits of wood. Before you know it, youre out of the logging busine s and trying to obtain a senior scouting job with a few National League club.

By now, you get my drift. Unfortunately, not everyone does, and also the problem isnt as minor as it seems. When executives of any trade, but for our purposes baseball, refuse to enhance the margins, they're not only hurting their overall utility but creating future problems.

The perfect example I can give this is actually the Mets, salomon Kids Running Shoes although Im sure you can imagine examples with your personal favorite team. The Mets started this season using the following lineup:

C Rod Barajas1B Mike Jacobs2B Luis Castillo3B David WrightSS Jose ReyesLF Jason BayCF Gary Matthews Jr.RF Jeff Francoeur

Do you see the weak logs? It shouldnt be that hard. Mike Jacobs has become a Triple-A player for the Jays after proving he Salomon Speedcross 4 Women cant hit major league pitching throughout his brief stay with the Mets. Gary Matthews Jr. had a .234 wOBA for the Mets, striking in 41% of the plate appearances. Rod Barajas happens to be around the DL, but continues to be substandard having a .292 wOBA and 0.5 Fight against the season. Jeff Francoeur honestly doesnt deserve to play baseball at any level profe sionally, despite how affable he may be. His .284 wOBA is made even worse by his tendency (or just self-afflicted rule) to swing at everything often and early. I wont even mention Alex Cora.

Many of those players have been replaced. Josh Thole has been very good throughout his limited time at catcher, Angel Pagan continues to be one of the best players in baseball this season, Salomon Speedcross 3 CS Women and Ike Davis is having a nice rookie year at first base. Still, this unsurprisingly hasnt been enough for that medicore Mets. When you see it took months for R.A. Dickey and Hisanori Takahashi to exchange Oliver Perez and John Maine in the rotation, nobody should be surprised at the record of the Mets.

When James Kannengeiser of Amazin Avenue gave some wise ways the Mets could enhance their ballclub, it was met with this particular reply from Matt Cerrone in the popular MetsBlog:

Sure, releasing Oliver Perez, Jeff Francoeur and Alex Cora may help, and it would sure get the attention of fans, but, at the end of the day, Mike Pelfrey, Carlos Beltran, Francisco Rodriguez, Jose Reyes, Jason Bay yet others continue to be around the roster and still need to get their collective act together.

Matt saw that the weak logs were hurting the dam, and just decided that the bigger logs had to obtain act together. I suppose it didnt matter that Mike Pelfrey has a better ERA/FIP/xFIP/tERA than this past year, or that K-Rod has been flat-out great, or that Jose Reyes continues to be incredible following a slow start thanks to getting back from an injury (and it is still on pace for a 3-WAR year per 150 games), or that Carlos Beltran got back from serious knee surgery after the All-Star break. The strong logs weren't sufficiently strong.

I really wish i could state that this can be a problem that is just relayed via talk radio and blogs, but its not. General Managers consistently choose to ignore minor holes on their roster, and this develops from a lack of knowledge the true value of stats like Wins Above Replacement (WAR). Solid roster management is among the best traits that any sports executive can have. Unfortunately, those strong logs are only able to salomon Speedcross 3 Women take a lot pre sure until they break.

Posted: Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 0 comment(s) [ Comment ] - 0 trackback(s) [ Trackback ]

 Over the last nine baseball Salomon Speedcross 4 Mujer seasons, at least one thing has been constant: the domination of Ron Gardenhires Minnesota Twins by the Ny Yankees. Between your regular season and also the postseason, the Twins have lost an astounding 57 of their last 75 contests from the New York, together with a sweep in last seasons ALDS that just seemed all too familiar. These struggles have created a story: the little-guy Twins, despite all of their regular season succe s, crumble underneath the pre sure of the big-city Yankees. Is that this just the magnification of a small 75-game sample, or is there something substantive in the Twins 18-57 record against the Yankees under Gardenhire?

Using a Bill James method known as log5, we can locate an expectation for one teams performance against another. Log5 predicts Team As win percentage against Team B using the following formula:

A*(1-B)/(A*(1-B)+(1-A Salomon Speedcross 3 Hombre )*B)

The A within the above formula is Team As winning percentage and B is Team Bs winning percentage. Since 2002, the Twins are, such as the postseason, 809-677 for a .544 winning percentage. The Yankees are 914-612 over that very same time frame, for any winning number of .599. Therefore, the log5 method informs us that we should expect the Twins to win 44.4% percent of the time, or 33.3 games out of 75.

So the Twins won 15.3 fewer games than we'd expect, nearly the amount of games they won total, although that won't even sound as shocking because it should. According to binomial distribution, the probability of 18 (or fewer) succe ses from 75 tries having a succe s probability of .444 is only 0.021%. For an additional measurement of precisely how outlandish this run has been, I ran 2500 simulations of the 75 games a suming a Twins win po sibility of 44.4%. In just one of the simulations did the Twins win the 18 games that weve observed over the past nine years. The actual result from the games is a whopping 3.6 standard deviations in the mean expectation. Salomon Speedcross 3 CS Mujer

Running these numbers using Pythagorean records since 2002 yields nearly identical results, as nearly nine years of data results in Pythagorean records similar to actual records. Its also important to note the Pythagorean record from the Twins-Yankees game results in a record of 52.5 wins for that Yankees and 22.5 for the Twins slightly closer, but still merely a 0.8% chance according to the binomial distribution but still 2.5 standard deviations in the mean expectation of just over 33 wins. As you extra note, it Salomon Niños is important to remember that although the likelihood of the Yankees dominating at this level are tremendously low, the chances of any one team dominating anyone other team like this more than one stretch are much higher simply due to the large amount of 75 game head-to-head samples.

Using this data, we can reject the hypothesis that the Twins are actually a .444 team from the Yankees once we would expect given the log5 method with 99.9841 certainty, more than the typical 95% level of statistical significance. This highly shows that some other factors are in play besides each teams talent in accordance with the league. For whatever reason, the New York Yankees play far better or even the Minnesota Twins play much worse (or both) when these two teams complement.

The Twins would need to be a roughly .350 team from the Yankees for that 18-57 actual lead to be within two standard deviations of the mean expectation. The Yankees extra advantage over the Twins reaches least within the realm of 100 points of winning percentage, or even more. The question is where this extra advantage comes from. Id like to explore that in later posts, but for Salomon Speedcross 4 Hombre that I take some help. Could it be something using the way each team distributes their talent? Are the teams built by the Yankees just better suited to experience the Twins compared to remaining league (or vice-versa)? Can there be something about Ron Gardenhires tactics from the Yankees which puts his teams in a disadvantage? Would be the Yankees great at advance scouting the Twins? Is there other things that Im mi sing? Put your ideas in the comments and Ill try to investigate some of them in the coming week.

Posted: Thursday, September 21, 2017 - 0 comment(s) [ Comment ] - 0 trackback(s) [ Trackback ]

Yesterday, I published a post here examining the year-to-year correlations for several ball-in-play (BIP) pitching metrics. The results published there've some use on their own. Like a request of that information, however, Id like to take a look at the nine potential free agent starting pitchers (besides Zack Greinke) whose teams faced a qualifying offer decision this offseason, and find out how this analysis might impact their valuation.

Below, youll find two tables. The very first, for reference, is really a collection of all of the year-to-year correlations from yesterdays post. Next is another table, featuring how each of the nine pitchers fared based on each metric. Comments regarding each pitchers in greater depth appear below that.

First, the correlation coefficients from yesterdays post:

Correlation Coefficients, 2014-15 ERA QualifiersMetricCoefficientK%0.81BB%0.66Pop%0.53Fly%0.76LD%0.14GB%0.86FL/LD0.37GB AUTH0.25BIP AUTH0.37ERA0.45FIP0.65TRU ERA0.72

Remember: a 100% correlation (1.00 within the above table) is obtained once the two sets of data are totally identical. The closer to 1.00, the higher amount of correlation backward and forward data sets.

Now what follows would be the nine pitchers in question. Stats are presented as an index, where 100 is average, above 100 is excellent, and below 100 is substandard. Questions regarding the various metrics? A far more thorough explanation are available in yesterdays post.

2014-15 QO Candidates Key Stats Scaled to 100NameK%BB%POP%FLY%LD%GB%F/L PRDGB PRDBIP PRDACT ERAACT FIPTRU ERABrett Anderson7782126072145127969895101102Wei-Yin Chen97711531099692981021008310489Marco Estrada9110416814874737089747811075Yovani Gallardo771186584105111971089685100102His. Iwakuma10856599388114111110100889382Ian Kennedy1219810411910884114103121110116101John Lackey977913398971009211196719291Jeff Samardzija9074111115101889010310212410594J. Zimmermann986315410610392122101105949695

*****

Brett Anderson (Profile)Status: Accepted qualifying offer from Dodgers

Andersons key strength is his stratospheric grounder rate, the best in the majors this past year, over two standard deviations higher than league average. His walk rate was also an optimistic, over one half standard deviation lower than league average. Our correlation coefficients tell us that these are likely true talents, and really should recur moving forward. Unfortunately, exactly the same doesnt apply to his low liner rate, that was over two Montravius Adams Jersey standard deviations below league average. Because a ground baller as Anderson is, repeating his 66.3% grounder rate would be a significant feat, and any reduction likely will translate point for reason for an increase in liner rate.

His chief weakne s is his low K rate, and our correlation coefficients tell us he cant expect much help moving forward. The only way this type of low-K pitcher can survive would be to po se s a defining BIP frequency and/or authority talent; Andersons grounder-inducing skill is simply that. It must be emphasized, however, this elite grounder skill simply made him a league average starter. To s in the truth that, due to injuries, 2015 was the first time in six years that Anderson was a period qualifier, and its tough to observe how Anderson improves came from here. He was a good idea to accept the QO; he must prove he is able to remain healthy before any club will invest multiple years in him.

*****

Wei-Yin Chen (Profile)Status: Free Agent

Chens chief strengths are his high appear and low BB rates, which were both more than one full standard deviation better than league average. The correlation coefficients inform us these are true talents, highly prone to recur continuing to move forward. In addition, Chen is one of the younger members of we, and also one of the most reliable. He has never reached 200 innings inside a season, but has consistently taken the ball every fifth day and averaged six innings per outing in his four seasons in the majors.

While Chen has yielded a large number of fly balls, he's consistently managed their authority near a league average level. FIP doesnt like high fly ball rates, and dings Chen accordingly. Tru ERA gives him credit for his ability to contain damage in the air. Our correlation coefficients tell us talent is involved to some extent here, though randomne s is as well. Chen wouldn't appear to have great upside above his current performance level, but his floor and the reliability level are high. He deserves at least 3 years around the open market, in an annual rate a little south from the QO level.

*****

Marco Estrada (Profile)Status: Re-signed with Blue Jays

Estrada inked a two year, $26 million deal just prior to the QO deadline. He was my AL contact manager of the year: his Adjusted Contact Score mark of 74 (within the BIP PRD column above) was best in the AL. His very high pop up rates are his chief strength, and it is one he's maintained throughout his career. Also, his relative production allowed mark on fly balls/liners of 70 is off-the-charts low and drove his 2015 succe s. As Brewer fans, and our correlation coefficients, let you know, that figure has varied a little from year to year.

Estradas liner rate allowed, like Andersons, is incredibly low, and should be anticipated to regre s moving forward. Though it has now been very reasonable for 3 years running, theres only Randall Cobb Jersey so much talent at work here. Estradas rate also cro sed over into below league average territory in 2015, which is a bit concerning continuing to move forward. FIP doesnt appreciate Estradas contact management skills, that are very real. Having said that, 2015 would be a best case scenario for Estrada, a first-time ERA qualifier at 31. Nowhere Jays played his situation well; locking him for 2 years below the QO annual rate is a solid risk/reward play.

*****

Yovani Gallardo (Profile)Status: Free Agent

The most positive item here's Gallardos high grounder rate; it has been commonplace throughout his career, and 2015 represented a career best relative to the league. The grounders arent disappearing. His other positive, on an actual production-allowed basis, was his containment of fly ball/liner damage; when adjusted for relative BIP authority, however, his performance slides much nearer to league average. Unlike Estradas case, FIP gets it right this time: Gallardos fortune on fly balls caused his 2015 ERA to become much lower than his FIP and tru ERA.

Now, the negatives. Steadily declining K rate during the last few years, sharp increase in BB rate in 2015. Our correlation coefficients tell us not to count on imminent turnaround of these trends. Though Gallardo has answered the bell consistently over the years, his quality is not likely to match his innings quantity moving forward. Hes a league average pitcher inside a near best-case scenario in almost any year moving forward. Dollars per year should be a larger concern than length of contract from a team perspective. I might be comfy Rick Lovato Jerseywith 3 years, but Im not cozy once the bidding gets past $10 million per year. Hell likely have more than that, and it probably wont end well.

*****

Hisashi Iwakuma (Profile)Status: Free Agent

There are a couple of fairly obvious strengths here: BB and grounder rates well above average, by more than one full and one half standard deviation, respectively. Those are true talents, and important ones. Iwakumas K rates are also solid, near the top of the typical range among starting pitchers. A really low liner rate also helped drive his 2015 succe s, but as we can see from our correlation coefficients, we should not expect this to persist continuing to move forward.

On the negative side, Iwakuma does allow all types of batted balls to be hit harder compared to league average, though his strong frequency mix kept his adjusted contact score under control at 100, the league average. Qualitatively, Iwakuma reaches or near the top of this group. Nice K/BB profile, plenty of grounders good stuff. The big i sue here's advancing age and reliability. Returning to his days in Japan, he has been susceptible to nagging injuries with an ongoing basis. A third guaranteed year at $15-plus million gets him done, though teams will likely try to operate in a third-year vesting option instead.

*****

Ian Kennedy (Profile)Status: Free Agent

Ah, the guy many thought should take the QO. His advantages and disadvantages are in-your-face obvious. His K rates are by far the best of this group, and one of just two, along with Iwakuma, measurably above league average. Thats his lone plus, but its an enormous one, and something our correlation coefficients tell us is likely to persist.

On another hand, boy, do guys hit the ball hard against him. His frequency mix is way from ideal, rich in fly ball and liner rates. While liner minute rates are usually random, Kennedys liner rate allowed continues to be greater than league average in four from the last five seasons. There needs to be some true talent, or lack thereof, at work here. His 121 Adjusted Contact Score was the worst among NL ERA qualifiers in 2015. His managing contacts skills can be harmful, although not 121 bad; Ill mark him for true talent of 110, which makes him a durable, slightly better than league average starter right now. Hell remain so until his K rate gives way. A golf club in a big park with a good defense should pony up 3 years for Kennedy, who could be a bargain around $10-12 million per year.

*****

John Lackey (Profile)Status: Free Agent

Theres lots of near-league-averagene s in Lackeys profile, aside from his one- Jeff Janis Jersey half standard deviation better than league-average BB and appear rates. This is probably a pretty good time to bring up the truth that, during these circles, league average is pretty good. Do you know the typical NL ERA qualifier struck out 8.06 batters per nine innings last season? In these days of le s contact, fewer walks and much more ground balls, the stakes happen to be raised for starting pitchers. That Lackey, uh, lacks a glaring weakne s at his advanced age is quite impre sive.

That said, Lackey was nowhere near as good as actual ERA last season. His FIP and tru ERA have been in agreement: hes a near-average contact authority manager with a slightly better than average BIP frequency mix. At his age, he shouldn't be expecting more than two guaranteed seasons, but the top quality he brings could land him $16-17 million per season. Given the Cards needs and Lackeys succe s in St. Louis, expect the two sides arrive at a gathering of the minds.

*****

Jeff Samardzija (Profile)Status: Free Agent

There are an awful lot of conflicting signals in Samardzijas profile. The large positive is his low BB rate, on the full standard deviation below league average and the third best among of this group of pitchers. Other than that, his biggest pros arent available on a stat line. Its his durability, raw stuff, size and athleticism that set him apart, and teams believing theres more in the tank.

On the gloomy from the ledger, the precipitous drop in his K rate last season stands out. Our correlation coefficients make us ponder whether he can recapture his past prowe s in this region. In addition, Samardzijas frequency profile took a turn for the worst last season, as his fly ball rate spiked and grounder rate dropped. His actual 2015 performance flew in the face of projected correlation with prior year performance. The biggest final takeaway is incorporated in the last three columns of the aforementioned table, however. His relative tru ERA of 94 easily outstrips his relative FIP (105) and the abysmal relative ERA (124). He was killed by the poor White Sox defense. Even with the negative developments in his frequency and authority Geronimo Allison Jersey profiles, Samardzija should have been an excellent starter in 2015. With a few targeted improvement, his ceiling remains high. Expect a four year, $60-70 million deal for the big guy.

*****

Jordan Zimmermann (Profile)Status: Free Agent

The 2015 version of Jordan Zimmermann was a bit like 2015 Jeff Samardzija. Zimmermanns most eminent trait was his low BB rate, over a full standard deviation below league average, and better than any pitcher about this list. Unlike Samardzija, this has been Zimmermanns trademark throughout his major league career. In addition, he has created a significant pop up tendency, also having a rate over a standard deviation better than the league.

As for negatives, Zimmermann allowed fairly hard fly ball/line drive contact (122 Adjusted F/LD Contact Score), which fortunately, our correlation coefficients inform us isnt solely tied into true talent. After taking his relatively strong BIP mix into consideration, his overall Adjusted Contact Score is a much more tolerable 105. His true talent in that area is probably nearer to league average, which will likely move his tru ERA nearer to 90 than his 2015 mark of 95. Hes young, consistent, includes a very high floor and a decent ceiling. He's a chance for a five-year deal, and should earn between $16-18 million each year.

*****

An awful much more compared to numbers discu sed here come into play when making a substantial free agent commitment. Theres health, makeup, athleticism, etc. Still, in a minimum, as a club enters this proce s, they must know which numbers on the free agents record are likely to recur, or perhaps improve, moving forward. Bad deals abound in free agency, in which you must remember the golden rule: purchase exactly what the player is going to do, not what hes already done.

Posted: Thursday, September 21, 2017 - 0 comment(s) [ Comment ] - 0 trackback(s) [ Trackback ]

 Bryce Petty Jersey

There's a justification Alex Ovechkin is considered the best hockey players acro s the globe. He will do i sues that normal mankind could only want.

On Saturday with the Montreal Canadians, the Washington Capitals' forward scored on Carey Price on your play that Keyshawn Johnson Jersey a number of individuals have trouble learning to live without dealing with skates, ice, opponents or even a goalie.

MORE: Stadium Series Robby Anderson Jersey in photos |NHL-Super Bowl prop bets

It's not unusual to check out players score from behind the objective Lorenzo Mauldin Jersey line. Also, it is common to look at players juggle the puck on stick. But to complete the whole thing within a sequence? That's rather impre sive.

Which is strictly why he's one of the better hockey players globally.

Also, the Capitals Dexter McDougle Jersey won this online game 5-0.

(GIF via Reddit)

Posted: Thursday, September 21, 2017 - 0 comment(s) [ Comment ] - 0 trackback(s) [ Trackback ]

 A few hours when the Pittsburgh Ereck Flowers Jersey Penguins closed magic of making up about the same disciplinary i sue, another (considerably more minor) one opened.

Defenseman Deryk Engelland was ejected from Saturday's game against the Detroit Steve Weatherford Jersey Red Wings for hitting Justin Abdelkader through the head. Text me saging isn't be suspended get rid of.

Here's video:

Also working against Engelland: a three-game suspension in the year 2011 for leaving his feet hitting Chicago's Marcus Kruger from the Cole Farrand Jersey head, has Abdelkader was injured about the play.

Earlier from the day, Boston Bruins Jay Bromley Jersey winger Shawn Thornton was suspended 15 games for dragging down Brooks Orpik and punching him hard. Pittsburgh's James Neal the 2009 week was suspended five games for kneeind Brad Janoris Jenkins Jersey Marchand inside head seconds just before the Thornton-Orpik incident.

MORE: Longest NHL suspensions of all the time

Posted: Thursday, September 21, 2017 - 0 comment(s) [ Comment ] - 0 trackback(s) [ Trackback ]

 The Ny Rangers certainly pulled rapid straw at this point. And coach Alain Vigneault has finally admitted it.

MORE: Pens shutout Rangers again | PHOTOS: Eastern Conference

When they couldn't closed down the their first-round series from the Philadelphia Flyers in Game 6 in Philadelphia, the Blueshirts DeSean Jackson Jersey were recommended to resume Madison Square Garden Round the clock later to try out a video game 7.

They won, spent a full day off, and totally Pittsburgh Penguins Friday. Riley Cooper Jersey Which were combined with an off day and another back-to-back.

So their week's been pretty busy:

Tuesday Game 6, Philly

Wednesday Game 7, New York

Friday Game 1, Pittsburgh

Sunday Game 2, Pittsburgh

Monday Game 3, New York

They're the most important team in 20 years to spend time playing five playoff games within a seven-day span. Extend that any little further this is six games in nine days. Rangers diehard or hater, on the web admit now you have Marcus Johnson Jersey an absurd agenda for quite po sibly the most stre sful and important time of the year. Though early also easy to admit the Rangers need to have done away with Philly before Game 7 being within the conversation.

The Rangers haven't scored in 120 minutes against Marc-Andre Fleury exactly the same guy with seriously questionable goaltending through the Columbus series additionally, the power play remains to be dead. Nobody is scoring, not to say obtaining a decent shot on goal. The c's had until now downplayed the Jason Peters Jersey effect from the schedule, yet Vigneault played three new faces in Monday night's game.

You may well be frustrated now, but it surely does bad things, veteran center Brad Richards said . We are typically Brian Westbrook Jersey in the midst of a series, and out from those three games we played two real honest ones.

Vent your frustrations and progre s, because if you draw the short straw, there's no utilization in dwelling in there. Suck along and decipher it because there's still hockey to always be played.

Posted: Thursday, September 21, 2017 - 0 comment(s) [ Comment ] - 0 trackback(s) [ Trackback ]

 Clippers co-owner Shelly Sterling would remain near to the organization under the pending sale to former Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer, reported by two individuals nearby the negotiations.

The individuals, that aren't authorized to convey publicly, told The A sociated Pre s your $2 billion deal contains about 10 percent from the team or $200 million to get spun off suitable charitable foundation that Shelly Sterling would e sentially run. The offer was negotiated by Shelly Sterling after husband Donald Sterling's racist remarks to a new girlfriend were publicized and also the NBA utilized in oust him as team owner.

One of the people said Shelly Sterling and Ballmer may be co-chairs for the foundation. The people said the basis would target underprivileged families, battered women, minorities and inner city youths. "To benefit those on the receiving end of Donald's rather abhorrent remarks," a person said.

The idea to allow for Shelly to carry on some role during the team was floated early on by her attorney, Pierce O'Donnell neither he nor Shelly Sterling solved a ask for comment and also it was enthusiastically agreed to via the NBA. "The NBA was throughout it with regard to support," among the many individuals said. "It gave her an important role and stake Joe Dahl Jersey within the team, and gave the NBA A hundred percent sale on the team."

However, the NBA described she might not be affiliated with the basketball franchise.

"It seriously isn't accurate that Mrs. Sterling will have a role while using Clippers or stake in your team," NBA spokesman Mike Ba s said.

Donald Sterling's attorney, Maxwell Blecher, declined to comment.

But it's unclear when this deal are ever going to materialize as Donald Sterling still hadn't signed off at the deal's terms since NBA will not say yes to revoke its $2.5 million fine and lifetime ban, in keeping with one of several individuals.

Sterling had provided to sell the team Wednesday and drop his $1 billion federal lawsuit with the NBA a suming "all their differences had been resolved." Now he's considering continuing the suit after Tavon Wilson Jersey being informed by intermediaries the NBA won't budge at the punishments doled out by Commi sioner Adam Silver after Sterling's racist comments were publicized.

Donald Sterling's consent to his wife's potentially record-breaking $2 billion deal was the very first signal of a conclusion to weeks of uncertainty. The NBA's owners must approve the deal.

Donald Sterling's comments to V. Stiviano included telling her never to bring black folks to Clippers games, specifically mentioning Hall of Famer Magic Johnson. They brought about a storm of outrage from the public and players perhaps even prompted President Barack Obama to much more what he called Sterling's "incredibly offensive racist statements."

Silver ultimately thought i would ban Donald Sterling for keeps and began efforts to force Sterling selling the c's.

Donald Sterling's federal lawsuit alleges your league violated his constitutional rights by counting on information from an "illegal" recording that publicized racist remarks he made to some girlfriend. Moreover it said the league committed a breach of contract by fining Sterling $2.5 million which violated antitrust laws by trying to force an acquisition.

For weeks, Donald Don Muhlbach Jersey Sterling said through his attorneys that he'd fight the NBA's make an effort to oust him as a team owner. But the previous week Shelly Sterling utilized her authority as sole trustee of The Sterling Family Trust, which owns the Clippers, taking bids for your team and ultimately negotiate an understanding with Ballmer.

Under the deal Shelly Sterling would buy the title of "owner emeritus" and stay eligible for continuing perks for example floor seats, additional seats at games and parking.

One of people said the deal comes with points that allow Ballmer to invest in back the 10 percent part of the team for the pre-designated price upon Shelly Sterling's death.

"All the proceeds check out charity, it is check out her," anyone said. "She's leaving having a $2 billion check. That's enough due to her."

SNYDER TAKES JAZZ KEYS

Quin Snyder knows bigger his work block for him together with the Utah Jazz, but also feels he has the support of ownership to set up the group back up in a perennial playoff contender.

"For a coach to have loyalty in the ownership group, you are you won't have to skip steps," Snyder said Saturday because he was introduced as the team's eighth head coach, Adairius Barnes Jersey and also first since 1979 hired externally this company. "It's an action and often there is certainly pre sure to accelerate that proce s but it is good to build a factor that will last."

Snyder, who just completed his first season as being a definite a sistant in the Atlanta Hawks, begins a crew by using a talented core of players 24 yr old and younger. The Jazz even have two first round picks, including No. 5 overall, in your upcoming NBA draft.

Utah was also reportedly considering Chicago a sistant Adrian Griffin, NBA coaching veteran Alvin Gentry and Jazz a sistant Brad Jones. However, Synder's good name for player development played a primary role in landing the work.

"Trust is one thing that's earned," said Snyder, who may have been an a sistant while using Chicago Lakers, Philadelphia 76ers and Chicago Clippers. "It needs time to work but players, they always respond as soon as you get for them and help them recover. They then hand back to your. Those relationships are what drive player development."

CHOKE ARTIST

Grizzlies forward James Johnson has been arrested for domestic a sault and charged with hitting and choking his wife at their home.

Johnson was booked in the Shelby County Jail at 4:35 a.m. Saturday and was there to stay Saturday afternoon.

WMC-TV cited a police affidavit that Johnson amazing wife had just returned home when Johnson allegedly hit his wife hard which has an open hand before choking her. Johnson left and returned when police arrived and was arrested. The Memphis Police Department could not immediately return several me sages within the A sociated Pre s.

The Grizzlies released Quandre Diggs Jersey a statement saying they're gathering information as well as no further comment.

Johnson is scheduled to check in court Monday. The 16th pick overall in '09, Memphis signed him with the D-League in December.

Contributing: The A sociated Pre s

Posted: Wednesday, August 30, 2017 - 0 comment(s) [ Comment ] - 0 trackback(s) [ Trackback ]

 The Diamondbacks now will wear a black patch with "KAYLA" written in the sleeve honoring Prescott, Ariz., resident Tye Smith Jersey Kayla Mueller.

A human rights activist, Mueller died while being held by Islamic State militants in Syria last month.

Derrick Henry Jersey

Kayla may have a relatively special invest background of Arizona and we're deeply saddened by her lo s, D-backs ceo and president Derrick Hall said inside a statement. The manner in which Andy Gallik Jersey she helped others and gave straight back to the planet round her embodied a number of the core values of one's organization and our players is going to be proud to use her name with their sleeves.

The Nate Palmer Jersey 26-year-old happened captive in Syria for Eighteen months before being killed Feb. 6.

Muellergraduated from Northern Arizona University, where she studied political science which has an concentrate on international i sues. She traveled Bishop Sankey Jersey abroad, volunteering for multiple humanitarian groups and helping kids utilizing their company countries.

Posted: Wednesday, August 30, 2017 - 0 comment(s) [ Comment ] - 0 trackback(s) [ Trackback ]

 Its about time Jim Thome finally got the recognition he deserved. Though his chase toward history wasnt as publicized as Derek Jeters, Thomes relatively quiet run to 600 career home runs seems fitting, looking back. Thome regarded as among the nicest guys hanging around never seemed to care if the baseball world was focusing; he just continued to destroy baseballs. Since Thome has reached the elite 600 club, a large number of words will be spilled about whether he deserves to maintain the Hall of Fame. Although this milestone generally guaranteed ticket to Cooperstown, the threat of performance Matt Asiata Jersey enhancing drugs has altered what sort of generation of power hitters happen to be perceived. Based on the stats, Thome should get the call. Unfortunately for him, may po sibly not be on the very first ballot.

A glance at Thomes counting stats reveals one of the most dangerous hitters from the 1990s. Thome may have been a strong hitter, but he was patient too, compiling a career .407 on-base percentage. As Joe Posnanski already noted, Thome never met a fastball he couldnt handle. Since 1994, Thome ranks ninth of all players in wRC+, eighth in Harrison Smith Jersey wOBA and ninth in WAR. Throughout his peak from 1995 to 1997 Thome compiled 19.5 WAR, which is better than Mark McGwire, Alex Rodriguez and Manny Ramirez within the same period. As he was at his prime, Thome could really hit a baseball.

So T.J. Clemmings Jersey , whats the problem? Every voter need to look at those career numbers and say yup, looks like a Hall-of-Famer in my experience. But you will find facets of Thomes game that are going to be picked apart by skeptics.

The biggest complaint could get down to how he accumulated his stats. Some voters might view Thome as a compiler or a player who accumulated numbers on the long period of time (see Mike Mu sina). While its unfair to criticize Thome for being so good for thus long, voters will harp on the proven fact that Thome only had one season where he finished in the top five in MVP voting. Voters will probably mention the consistently great, but never elite argument too.

Thome may also be hurt because he spent the ultimate chunk of his career like aJalil Carter Jersey DH. We dont know exactly how voters will view this yet, though voters denied Edgar Martinez on his first shot. Certainly Frank Thomas have a much better argument for election when his vote comes, which could have major implications on whether Thome makes it in on the first ballot.

While they likely wont play a crucial role in Thomes candidacy, PEDs can come up in the controversy. Because of his personality and also the general praise hes received from everyone around baseball it might truly be a shock if Thome took steroids. People just appear to a sume that Thome is clean, so this i sue may not affect him around a few of the other power hitters from his era. Still, some writer/voter brings them up.

Add everything together, and you still have a lot of uncertainty. Thome deserves to be elected to the Hall based on his hitting statistics a fact few would argue. Yet voters will probably deny Thome from being a first-ballot Hall-of-Famer because of the i sues outlined above. Unle s things radically alternation in the following couple seasons, Thomes nice guys finish last act might extend a couple of years longer. On the other hand, he never needed or wanted the publicity anyway Rashod Hill Jersey .